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MACROVANTA - Anti-Freemium Pricing Calculator
A calculator for comparing freemium against a refundable paid trial.
MACROVANTA 2026-06-25
Signal #001 Asset
 
Run your freemium math before you add another free user

Tuesday's signal was simple: when rates are no longer near zero and buyers are auditing subscriptions, delayed free-to-paid revenue is more expensive than it looks.

If you missed the setup, read Tuesday's full issue here: Signal #001: The End of ZIRP and the Death of Freemium B2C.

So today the asset is the model behind the argument.

Duplicate the calculator
How to use it
  1. Enter your funnel numbers. Start with monthly free signups, free-to-paid conversion, conversion lag, ARPU, gross margin, monthly churn, CAC, and discount rate.
  2. Compare freemium against a paid trial. The calculator shows discounted free-signup LTV, net free-signup value, paid-trial immediate cash, retained paid-user value, and total expected value.
  3. Make the pricing call. If paid-trial EV beats freemium EV and refund risk is tolerable, test a 7-day refundable paid trial on one acquisition channel.
Starter read

The default scenario is an indie B2C app: 1,000 free signups per month, 4% free-to-paid conversion, 9-month conversion lag, $19 monthly ARPU, 5% monthly churn, $2.50 CAC, and a $9 paid-trial price.

In that setup, the paid trial wins because it creates immediate cash and filters low-intent users before they consume months of product surface area.

The operator move

Do not decide "freemium or paid trial" philosophically. Decide it with one acquisition channel, one cohort, and one payback target.

Success threshold: refund rate under 30%, 14-day retention above 50%, and expected value per acquired user above your current freemium model.

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Big shifts. Practical moves.

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